Market participants are closely watching the US inflation numbers due on Thursday (September 11), ahead of next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) is scheduled to release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August 2025 at 8:30 A.M. Eastern Time.

The August CPI reading will be a key indicator shaping expectations around the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. According to a Reuters poll, the headline CPI is expected to have risen by 0.3% month-on-month in August, up from a 0.2% increase in July. On a year-on-year basis, CPI is projected to have accelerated to 2.9%, up from 2.7% in the previous month.

In July, the annual CPI remained steady at 2.7%. On a monthly basis, it edged lower from 0.3% to 0.2%. Meanwhile, core inflation—which excludes volatile food and energy prices—continued its upward trend, rising 3.1% over the past 12 months, compared with a 3.0% increase in June. The monthly core inflation also accelerated to 0.3% in July from 0.2% in June.

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